Bandura
HMRC Digital Transformation Programme· £55m · Cabinet Office · DOS6Send a message to startBandura
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Procurement NoticeSRO Briefing
Contract DataPrior ITTMarket IntelBid ContextClient InsightsCompetitor SWOTRequirementsCapabilitiesWin ThemesGhosting StrategyDifferentiatorsEval DriversComm. StrategyCapture PlanWin StrategySolution DesignCommercialsQ1 ResponseQ2 ResponseQ3 ResponseWhy we run a million simulations
Every score below is an estimate built from intelligence signals — not a fact. We accept we might be wrong. So instead of one answer, we run 1,000,000 versions of this bid. Each run varies every score and every weight by how confident we are. Lower confidence = wider variation = more spread in your outcome distribution. The result is a realistic range of win probabilities, not a false single number.
2 criteriona have low confidence: Delivery Methodology, Social Value. These are driving the most variance in your score distribution — your biggest intel gaps.
Score confidence
Technical
72%
Team
85%
Delivery
58%
Social
52%
Case
82%
Evaluation criteria · click a row to view intelligence signals
| Criterion | Our score | Score confidence | Weight | Weight confidence | Score range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Technical Approach 4 signals → | 7.5/10 | Medium confidence · 72% | 30% | High confidence · 80% | 0↑ 7.510 |
Team & Experience 3 signals → | 8.2/10 | High confidence · 85% | 25% | High confidence · 75% | 0↑ 8.210 |
Delivery Methodology 3 signals → | 7/10 | Medium confidence · 58% | 20% | Medium confidence · 60% | 0↑ 710 |
Social Value 3 signals → | 6/10 | Medium confidence · 52% | 15% | Medium confidence · 50% | 0↑ 610 |
Case Studies 3 signals → | 8.5/10 | High confidence · 82% | 10% | High confidence · 90% | 0↑ 8.510 |
✓ Weights sum to 100%
Scoring model
Quality / price split70 / 30
Your bid price£980k
Set by Bandura from tender documentation